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To make Secret Lair drops that much more enticing for fans, they dont only include whats being sold

If you do, draw X cards, then you may put a permanent card with mana value X or less from your hand onto the battlefield, where X is the sacrificed creature's mana value

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So lets dive into the odds and the math and the likelihood of getting the cards you want

This goes doubly so in Commander where your 100 card deck is full of singletons, meaning you're even less likely to draw each card you put inside of it than in other formats