To calculate the expected value of a box, perform these steps: Multiply the value of a card by the odds of opening the card
A good card for this strategy would be a cEDH staple called Underworld Breach, which makes each nonland card in the user's graveyard have escape, with the escape cost being equal to that card's mana cost plus exiling three cards from the user's graveyard
Prophetic Prism is similarly useful for fixing mana without too much opportunity cost, but there arent many artifact synergies or ways to flicker it in HBG
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Even in the early game, if you have a cheap commander in play it can set you ahead several turns over your opponents
Granted, they still need to hit those first 2-4 lands to function, so they cant go too low, but youll see aggro decks frequently run 20-22 lands