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The discard effect is a reasonable failsafe, though discard spells arent at their best in Commander to begin with

Goading a creature with defender won't do much, no matter how pointy your finger is

If you count all of the bulk rares at their full retail value, your expected value calculation will look much higher than mine, but this look is usually deceiving since it's really hard to get anywhere near full retail price if you are selling or trading away bulk rares

As such, even an effect as simple as Grave Pact works wonders in conjunction with Sephiroth

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What if you just want to speculate, though